In Black Swan, Taleb writes with flair, cheek, and a rare quirkiness. He shows how so much of our experience is determined by Black Swans, random, rare, and consequential events that we rationalize in hindsight, only to fall for them again. He explores the limits of our human mind and our incapacitating biases. He shows how poorly we understand prediction and why experts are often wrong. A humbling read for those arrogant enough to claim to predict the future.